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OriAr

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Everything posted by OriAr

  1. So Linus was about maybe 5 minutes of driving from my house. That's pretty amazing. I've been waiting for this video a long time since he was seen in Israel (My LinkedIn was full of posts about his trip)
  2. 6700XT uses a different die completely, so not sure how much this will really ease the shortage.
  3. The thing Linus has it wrong that this is not just a driver limitation.... This is a vBIOS and straight up silicon limitation too, and with those 2 things quite frankly, you ain't hacking it. Definitely not on day 1. The thing is... if the GPU market doesn't stabilize, the PC gaming market is in deep trouble, because quite frankly the availability of graphics cards is astonishingly bad, and at some point a lot of gamers would rather pull the trigger on consoles rather than wait the market to somewhat stabilize (Which might not happen for a while). Availability is so bad that RTX 3080 costs about the median salary where I live, and this has been going on since its launch, it didn't even get this bad during the last crypto boom, so I am not surprised Nvidia resorted to drastic measures. It's very nice telling people there will be nice deals in the used market in a year, but also in a year the pandemic will probably end and demand will probably scale down a bit > Cards ending up being E waste anyway. And quite frankly, all the supposed E waste is nothing compared to the damage mining itself does to the environment, with the unthinkable amounts of electricity it consumes, and you can bet most of it is not from renewable sources. You can be cynical about Nvidia's motives as much as you want, but the truth is that even if they supposedly don't care that much (And they absolutely do for reasons I will explain later), AIB partners sure as hell do, because they make their money not from the cards themselves (The profit margin for cards is virtually 0), but from all the surrounding peripherals, where the profit margins are far higher, and obviously miners don't buy those. (And gamers do, and sometimes for more money than they spend on their graphic cards), so for them miners are very bad news as far as profits are concerned, and they have every motive to make sure those cards end up with gamers and not miners. Also, Nvidia DOES care about gamers, Gamers are a major part of Nvidia's core consumers. They are loyal, they come back time and time again, they have predictable upgrade cycles, Nvidia can plan their long term product and business cycles with them in mind and don't get surprised by their spending habits. Miners directly disrupt Nvidia's core revenue streams for a short term gain by causing shortages and Nvidia try to avoid it at all costs for the sake of their long term business health. Regarding the second hand market, Nvidia aren't the only ones getting screwed by the 2nd hand market being distorted by miners, normal people who want to sell their cards get screwed too by ending up having to sell their cards at rates far below "normal" 2nd hand market rates. (AKA slightly below MSRP of performance equivalent new gen card). With this move by Nvidia, the 2nd hand market will hopefully go back to what it was before the crypto boom, and not be the place where miners dump their thermally abused cards after they pumped them. Also, Lovelace is looking like it will be Nvidia's biggest generation uplift in years, in which case the 2nd hand market being distorted will screw over gamers that want to sell their cards more than Nvidia itself. By using tactics of pump and dump and artificially crashing the 2nd hand market, miners screw over Nvidia 2nd time and Nvidia have every right to protect their long term interests from that.
  4. There is an error in the video, 3080 mobile uses a fully enabled GA104 die, not GA102 like the desktop 3080.
  5. DNA Data storage, surely it's fitting a Holy **** episode?
  6. I wish I was joking, indeed it seems some people are that stupid.
  7. The most ironic thing is that some people pay 3090 prices for the 3080/6800XT when the 3090 is in stock.
  8. RTX 3090 seems available somewhat, but the rest of the lineup is a lost cause until February I think. And Hopper will very likely follow soon in 2022 Q1 too.
  9. LG launches its first commercially available Micro LED display | What Hi-Fi? Surely the first commercially available MicroLED deserves a video? Time to see if the hype is worth it. (Well, it's not TV per se, but it's still the first Micro LED display in the wild, and that on its own is worth a video in my humble opinion)
  10. https://www.overclock3d.net/news/cases_cooling/asetek_reveals_its_rad_card_liquid_cooler_the_first_pcie_radiator_for_consumer_systems/1 This has to be reviewed when it comes out.
  11. Suicides actually increased by not a tiny amount following the great depression: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/hist293_1900_49.pdf Total death rate in America didn't move much in those years, although the great depression was the direct cause for the most devastating war in the history of humanity, so to claim it didn't cause many people dying is a big lie. The suicide rate in America has been going up worryingly and steadily the last 15 years and the lockdown and economic depression will just pour more gasoline into the fire, and that's without the rest of the puzzle (Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/187478/death-rate-from-suicide-in-the-us-by-gender-since-1950/) Death rate in America following the great recession actually did go up slightly, although here the data is a bit murky because that could just be due the baby boom generation dying from unrelated causes. (Source:https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/death-rate) And again, a global economic depression could very well mean a global war, it did last time after all, who knows how many people would die from that?
  12. And lengthy lockdown will doom just as much people to death as letting it spread will. Lockdown doesn't come free, it comes at a price of economic depression, mental health crisis, suicides, domestic abuse, substance abuse and the list goes on.... A lockdown could end up costing society a hell lot more than COVID-19 itself. At some point it's better to let the virus spread, try to protect the elder and risk population and get it over with,
  13. Again, easier said then done, with so many undetected cases going on it's nearly mission impossible to find everyone, and then you have the issues of false negatives, 1 false negative can easily mean a small outbreak here. Honestly, I'd take the opposite approach, have it spread, tell the old and risk groups isolate themselves, maybe ban mass gatherings and that's basically it. most people who get it will hardly feel it anyway, we just need to make sure that those who do feel it badly don't get it too much.
  14. Yeah but I meant the Virus was going undetected in America for quite a while. Honestly, I think the virus was going on in Europe a while too, there is a good chance the virus entered Europe in early January and not mid February as previously thought (Apparently doctors in Lombardy now think there is a chance it got to the region in December). If that's the truth, how on earth do we have hope testing and tracing? So many asymptotic carriers, another bunch who'd shrug it off as a cold and not do anything about it, what can we do more?
  15. Australia and NZ have the advantage of having no land borders and being isolated from everyone else. Once the rest of the world starts open things up again in the (European) summer AUS and NZ will have to decide what to do with their borders, NZ relies a lot on Tourism and if they keep the borders closed they will go bankrupt quite quickly, Australia can manage better but even them will have eventually to open their borders if they don't want their economy to tank even more. It's very nice saying Jacinda Ardern is doing everything right now, but I really doubt she'll be loved as much if in 9 months NZ is sitting on 25% unemployment rate because the borders are still closed and everyone related to Tourism doesn't work because that'd mean a dead industry. At some point the virus will come to NZ and Australia again and it could go under everyone's noses again, just like it did in America for a pretty big amount of time.
  16. Thing is most seem to lay hope in test and trace. I think if there are really so many undetected cases of COVID-19 test and trace is practically hopeless and should be used in very specific circumstances if at all. We are acting with almost worthless data and we might shooting ourselves in the butt.
  17. Ramp up capacity (Both ventilators and hospital beds) and start to open things up back again slowly with the target of returning everything to (almost) normal by October, react if hospitals get too crowded. # of cases isn't interesting at this point, what matters is how much actually need a bed/ventilator.
  18. But that's the thing, compared to some of the others it IS less serious, due the media obsession of COVID-19 some people think it's the apocalypse, but the cold hard truth its death rate isn't even that high compared to the others on that list. (It won't kill 100M people like the Black Death did for example). COVID-19 is a serious challenge in its own right, but it's not gonna bring the end of the world, and if it's true that there are around 100 undetected cases to each confirmed case, it might be time to rethink the response strategy.
  19. @Taf the Ghost It's probably about who they test as well, most of the countries in Europe test only the most severe cases so it makes sense that the CFR would be abnormally high. They don't test most mild cases let alone asymptotic cases. A serological analysis of blood donations in Scotland suggested that for each detected case there are about 100 undetected cases who are mostly asymptotic, and there are quite a few papers suggesting the same. I wonder if it's not a time for a rethink about strategy. because if it's true the lockdown probably creates more damage than it helps.
  20. It is very easy (And naïve) to claim that we can rebuild the economy just like that. If we don't pay salaries, how will we buy groceries? How will we pay those who DO work during these times? Even governments eventually will run out of money, especially if taxes are not paid (And remember, no salaries = no taxes) Now, of course payments and bills will be deferred for a few months if possible, but even that is a stopgap. It is quite simply impossible to hit the pause button and freeze everything like nothing happens, because the reality is that someone will have to get paid along the way, Are you seriously expecting people to not get salaries for 3 months and pretend everything is fine? Are you seriously expecting farmers to sell their crops for all this time for free? And basically deprive them from their livelihood? The social-economic consequences of stuff like this will be so severe, so bad that in the long run it will be worse than the virus itself.
  21. While things are massively different from back then, some metrics are just downright scary economically. In Israel the unemployment rate has been 25% (!) since the lockdown started, do you think this is sustainable for more than a few weeks? Sure, the government can keep spending and mitigate the impact for a while, but eventually even the governments can run out of money, and once that happens things get very ugly very fast. And if a world wide 2nd great depression hits, a global war is certainly a possible consequence of it, and that would kill way more people then COVID-19 might.
  22. So, what do you propose? Staying in a lockdown forever? Because you do that you will get a huge economic depression which will take decades to recover from and essentially will kill more people in the long run than COVID-19. Not to mention that the social unrest that will follow will have people more and more desperate and essentially turning to crime and lawlessness. The last great depression had a death toll of more than 60 million people and took almost 2 decades to recover from, a similarly sized depression now could be just as lethal eventually.
  23. Ehhhh, the death rate from COVID-19 is nowhere near 20%. high chance it's not even 2% (Estimations are talking about 0.5%, might be as low as 0.1%). Plagues with 20% death rate look completely different, and if COVID-19 had 20% death rate it'd have looked completely different. While getting back to normal won't be tomorrow, we need to think how we get out of this lockdown, because the situation as it is now is completely and utterly socially and economically unsustainable, and if you keep people locked down for too long then there will be massive social unrest and all hell could easily break loose.
  24. It is definitely a very big concern which is why we entered the lockdown at the first place and why the return to normal will be staggered, and the old and those who are in risk groups (And therefore more likely to occupy a hospital bed) will be asked to minimize their interactions for a while even after the rest come back to normal. Important to note that at least here ventilators are nowhere near capacity. (There are around 125 people ventilated here, there are around 1000 ventilators in Israel and apparently up to 5,000 on the way). The number of ventilated people has also barely changed the last week.
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